Without a doubt, voter turnout in
Republican primaries this season has been notably high.
Trump’s been claiming that he’s animating
“new voters” and “expanding the Republican Party.”
Analysis by Politico and Optimus (a
data analytics firm) indicates it ain’t necessarily so.
After studying the voting patterns in
Virginia, Ohio and Michigan, the researchers found that most of the increased
voting turnout reflected participation by folks who support Republicans in
general elections but don’t normally vote in primaries. Thus, the busy primary
voting represents “new primary voters” but not “new Republican voters.” Many of
these voters are folks who most likely would turn out for the general election
in any event.
The authors of the Optimus analysis
concluded: “The increase in
presidential primary turnout should give little comfort to the GOP as it looks
ahead to November’s general election.”
Now, let’s get real about the November 8
election.
Clinton or Trump will be the next
president of the United States.
If you vote for someone else, or if you
don’t bother to vote, everybody else is going to choose the next president.
Do you trust everybody else to do that?
Copyright © Richard Carl Subber 2016
All rights reserved.
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