Sunday, August 3, 2014

We need to reduce future Social Security benefits


Here's one of the reasons why we need to change Social Security benefits for future retirees:

Roughly 10,000 Baby Boomers now reach nominal retirement age (65) every day—this will keep happening for the next 15 years, until the youngest Baby Boomer reaches age 65 in 2029.

In the 1950s and 1960s and 1970s and even in the 1980s, no one in government or anywhere else ever thought that all these tens of millions of Baby Boomers would live long enough to collect Social Security benefits for years and years.

There isn’t enough money on the surface of the planet to pay all current working Americans a Social Security retirement check according to the current schedule of benefits.

We need to raise Social Security taxes—now—and reduce future payments to future retirees—now. Apologies to the young folks who are just entering the work force, and to those who are only mid-way through their work careers.

Historical note: in 1935, when the Social Security Act was signed by President Roosevelt, the government’s actuaries privately estimated that half of Americans wouldn’t live long enough to collect any benefits. The first monthly Social Security benefit check, for $22.54, was issued in January 1940. The recipient, Ida May Fuller, had paid a total of $24.75 in Social Security taxes during her working career, and before she died in 1975 she received $22,888.92 from the Social Security administration.

Here’s another aside: although it’s true that seniors are working longer (past age 65) than anyone ever guessed they would, still they’re going to retire sometime. Last year, for example, the Social Security Administration noted that “By 2015, almost 33 percent of our workforce, including 48 percent of our supervisors, will be eligible to retire. In FY [fiscal year] 2011, we lost over 4,000 employees due to retirement and other reasons. We expect this trend to continue. During this same time frame, the baby boomer retirement wave continues to have a significant effect on our workloads.”
  





Saturday, August 2, 2014

The "sticker price" for college


You’ve seen the scary headlines, like “College tuition jumps 500% since 1985.”



College IS expensive, and for many folks, I think, it’s not worth the cost.

Here’s another side of the story:
Despite steadily and acrophobically rising tuition rates, all of our private, nonprofit, four-year colleges combined have had essentially no growth in net revenues in the past 13 years.

Why? Because colleges each year are granting ever higher scholarships and tuition rebates—in effect, colleges are raising the tuition “sticker price” but actually charging less.

The so-called “discount rate”—the difference between “sticker price” and what first-time, full-time freshmen are actually paying—was estimated at over 46% in the academic year just ended.

Yep, you understand that correctly, the average freshman is actually paying barely more than half of the much-ballyhooed, sky-high tuition “sticker price.”

At my college, only a few short years ago the “discount rate” was about 32% and now it’s over 50%.

On top of that, about half of colleges in a recent survey said their undergraduate enrollment is declining.

Many colleges are hurting financially despite relentlessly raising their tuition.

What you charge is not necessarily what you get.








Friday, August 1, 2014

Movie review: "The Graduate" (1967)


Movie review: "The Graduate" (1967)
Dustin Hoffman, Anne Bancroft, Katharine Ross
Director: Mike Nichols
106 minutes

Ya seen it twice, ya seen it two different times, ya seen two different movies….

Full disclosure: I first watched this movie in 1968, soon after it premiered.

Spoiler: The boy gets the girl.


What I most clearly remembered about seeing “The Graduate” the first time was, of course, “Plastics!”

And, of course, the Simon and Garfunkel sound track, that’s still a keeper.

I also remembered the seduction scene with the stocking over the bent knee, and I remembered Ben and Elaine running away from her aborted wedding to Carl.


I was a bit confused, a few days ago when I watched it again, to discover that the movie isn’t so much about “boy gets girl” as it is about “boy gets girl’s mother, then gets girl”…..

The seduction, the capitulation, the inept interlude, the grotesque affair between the mismatched Ben and Mrs. Robinson take up a whole lot of the plot and a whole lot of the running time. Far too much. By 1967 standards, the dalliance was somewhat steamily depicted but it really doesn’t get your heart started now, it’s all too pathetic….

And the storybook romance between Ben and Mrs. Robinson’s daughter is more disjointed than inept, but I guess I have to say Mike Nichols’ portrayal of two college-student-age lovers is a pretty good satirical rendition of a 1967 “made in heaven” hookup.

The thing is, the only dramatic high point of the movie for me, now, is the drive-in scene that softens the brutal first date scene: it’s Ben’s angst about his life, as he candidly opens up to Elaine while they’re gobbling sandwiches, as he haltingly reveals his tortured effort to get a grip on life, as he says “You’re the first thing that I liked for so long, the first person I could stand to be with…it’s like I’ve been playing some kind of game, but, the rules don’t make any sense to me…they’re being made up by all the wrong people, no, I mean, no one makes them up, they seem to make themselves up…”

This, I think, is the essence of “The Graduate,” and it’s mostly the reason that I don’t plan to watch it again: Ben is bouncing off the walls, other people are taking all the shots, he neither feels nor aspires to any honorable form of agency, OK, he does fixate incoherently on his sudden decision to marry Elaine, but, you know, that final scene in the back of the bus, it’s clear that neither one of them is at all sure about what they’re doing.

“The Graduate”—there’s less there than meets the eye.






Thursday, July 31, 2014

“…there’s always room for chocolate.”



OK, this isn’t deep science, but I imagine you’ll be intrigued by the implied physics and I guess you won’t mind the homily part with the pickle jar philosophy and I’m pretty sure you’ll love the punchline.


Even if you don’t love chocolate.




Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Electricity ‘R’ Us


When is almost nothing really something?

The International Energy Agency says that keeping all our billions of electronic thingies plugged in is wasting almost enough electricity to satisfy Canada’s entire power demand.

Part of what’s going on is all the devices that are set in “standby” mode, so they power on instantly.

Part of what’s going on, says The Toronto Star, is the growing use of devices that are connected to networks so they’re always “on” and accessible from anywhere.

….and then there are all the “little” things like the 160 million cable TV “boxes” sitting next to TVs in the U.S.

The IEA estimates there are 14 billion “network-enabled devices” around the world, and that number is growing rapidly.

A good part of the waste of electricity is caused by superfluous features, for instance,
“Heating food requires 100 times more power than running the clock. But a microwave is typically ‘on’ as an oven only one per cent of the time; over its lifetime, far more energy is used to run the clock display than to cook food.”

Walk into every room in your house tonight at midnight, and count the visible LEDs on your devices.






Tuesday, July 29, 2014

Want more business execs in elected office? Really????


About 4 out of 5 Americans say we need more people “with business and management experience” in the hallowed halls of government.

What the heck are they thinking?

Now, let’s remember to treat every public opinion poll with great suspicion because pollsters never get it right, but—a recent Gallup poll reports that 81% of  Americans agree that “. . . this country would be governed better . . . if more people with business and management experience were in political office.”

I don’t agree, and I bet you don’t agree if you think about it for a minute.

Think about every boss you’ve ever had—how many of them do you want to send to Washington?

Think about your experience with companies of all kinds—do you automatically think that their CEOs and managers are magically qualified to hold political office and make good decisions for your town and your state and our country?

Think about all the bad news you’ve heard about Wall Street execs and top banking leaders and hedge fund managers and mortgage lenders and auto company leaders and gas company CEOs and the business tycoons who fund SuperPACs and the folks who manage the beef feed lots and the Big Pharma folks who sell high-priced drugs….


Are they the “people with business and management experience” that you want running our local and state and national governments?

Well, if they’re not the ones, then who is?












Monday, July 28, 2014

High U.S. business taxes? Pants on fire!


FACT: American corporate taxes are low, and have been dropping for almost 65 years.

U.S. corporations used to pay about one-third of federal taxes—now they pay less than 10 per cent.

You’ve heard the spectacularly false blather about “high U.S. corporate tax rates”?  Of course you have. “The U.S. business tax rate at 35% is highest among developed nations, highest in the universe and beyond, a chokehold on American businesses….”

The thing is, almost no corporation in America actually pays 35% of its income in federal taxes, what with federal tax breaks, loopholes, subsidies and offshore profit havens. In fact, the average big American company pays less than 23% in federal taxes, and the average PROFITABLE big company pays only about 17% of its income in federal taxes.

Around 1950, says Vox.com, American corporations were paying 32 per cent of all federal taxes.


Now, American corporations pay less than 10 per cent of all taxes collected by the federal government. Individual taxpayers like you and me, combined, pay more than 40 per cent of U.S. tax revenues when we file our federal tax returns, and that’s not counting our additional payroll tax deductions for Social Security and Medicare.

Currently, among the world’s developed nations that belong to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), the United States ranks third from the bottom in corporate tax collections.

That stuff about high corporate tax rates is just a politically-motivated lie.






Sunday, July 27, 2014

Think you’re an ESFJ?


Think you’re an ESTJ?  or an INFJ? or an ENTP?



Think again.

If those acronyms aren’t familiar, you probably never took the Myers-Briggs Type Indicator personality test.

A little news item on Vox.com is a stunner:  the Myers-Briggs test seems to be a load of what the farmer takes away….

"There's just no evidence behind it," says Adam Grant, an organizational psychologist at the University of Pennsylvania who's written about the shortcomings of the Myers-Briggs previously. "The characteristics measured by the test have almost no predictive power on how happy you'll be in a situation, how you'll perform at your job, or how happy you'll be in your marriage."

I took the test once, way back, I forgot what type it said I was.

Something like 2 million people do the Myers-Briggs every year, usually in the workplace. On the management retreat, or in the professional development seminar, or whatever....the company that now owns the Myers-Briggs concept makes about $20 million a year from licensing the test.



It was launched in the 1940s, reports Vox.com, and is based on “untested theories of an outdated analytical psychologist named Carl Jung, and is now thoroughly disregarded by the psychology community. . .the test is totally ineffective at predicting people's success in various jobs, and. . . about half of the people who take it twice get different results each time.”

Here’s a tip: don’t put your Myers-Briggs Type Indicator on your resume.







Two amazing dads....

Copyright © Richard Carl Subber 2014 All rights reserved.


Saturday, July 26, 2014

Newspapers are soaking up customers’ money



Despite their swirling descent into the toilet and the destruction of so many jobs and careers, American newspapers are still unbelievably profitable: the industry had an operating profit margin of 16.3% last year.

How can they do that? It’s easy: sharp increases in subscription and single copy prices, shrinking page count in the news hole, and draconian staff cuts.



Newspapers all over America are going to continue to publish until the remaining subscribers and remaining advertisers finally admit that newspapers aren’t worth the cost…..in other words, the plan is: when newspapers have sucked all the money out of the shrinking customer base, they’ll shut down.

Nice mission statement.












Thursday, July 24, 2014

Just in case….

….you were wondering “What the heck is the real name of the Marquis de Lafayette?” --  here’s the actual moniker of this great friend of America during the American Revolutionary War:

Marie-Joseph Paul Yves Roch Gilbert du Motier de La Fayette, Marquis de La Fayette





OK, carry on.
















Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Companies shouldn’t be able to “escape” U.S. taxes


You’ve heard this story before, here’s another one: 

A big U.S. drug company, AbbVie Inc., has purchased an Irish company and plans to re-incorporate in Great Britain, so it can cut its corporate tax bill by almost 50 percent.

Smart move, right?

Well, how about these apples?

For starters, AbbVie is currently paying an effective tax rate of only about 22 percent—forget the disingenuous squealing blather about the “high” nominal federal tax rate of 35 percent, almost no company pays that rate on its income after corporate tax breaks are factored in.

And this one: Yahoo Finance points out that Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL) called out AbbVie for moving “after using taxpayer-supported medical research to become one of the United States’ most profitable companies.” The federal government provides almost $35 billion a year to subsidize drug research by Big Pharma.

And this one: Durbin also said "It was our government’s patent office which protected their discoveries and guarded their right to make a profit. Now AbbVie is ‘moving’ to an Irish island to escape paying the U.S. taxes it owes.”

Corporations are not people.

Corporations are wholly artificial creations of human beings and society and the governments which protect and regulate them.

For starters, our government should institute a “clawback” policy for the tax breaks and subsidies provided to business: if you legally move your business to a tax haven outside the United States, your company has to pay back all the income-enhancing benefits it enjoyed while under the protection of U.S. laws.

That’s the ticket.










Tuesday, July 22, 2014

Searching for more, settling for less?


Off the beaten track,
   here is all of life, but, aaah….
      you see, there is less….

Wondering how the other half lives?

Same as you.



Well, not really.

Not everyone thinks the beaten track goes to the same place you think it goes….













Monday, July 21, 2014

They’re still doing it….



Remember the sub-prime mortgage fiasco a half dozen years ago? Remember the national financial meltdown of 2008 that created wretched investment and home equity losses for so many millions of Americans, and threw millions of people out of work?

Remember the sleazy wizards of Wall Street and investment professionals who figured out how to make billions in profits while most folks were losing their shirts?

They’re still doing it.

Only this time it’s sub-prime auto loans for used cars. Auto loans to folks who shouldn’t be borrowing money have increased 130% in the past five years, says the New York Times.


As in, carefully marketed auto loans for people who really have a poor credit history (thus, “sub-prime”), loans with annual interest rates approaching 25 percent, with loan amounts that are higher than (sometimes double) the actual value of the used cars these deluded and desperate folks are trying to buy.

As in, packages of these loans, with inadequate collateral, being sold to sophisticated and/or greedy investors (including maybe your mutual fund or pension fund administrator) who are clamoring for the high returns on their investments, who don’t know or don’t care that the risk of non-payment on these loans is very high.

Folks, we’ve seen this movie before, it doesn’t turn out well….

Why are financial and banking regulators allowing this to happen? Who are they working for, anyway?







Saturday, July 19, 2014

Everybody’s gotta be somewhere….


Here's a little picture worth a thousand words.


Forget about wilderness, forget about open prairie, forget about suburban spaces….

There are 3,144 counties in the United States, but half of the population of America lives in the 146 counties colored blue above, mostly concentrated in coastal and lake-front areas, and some widely scattered urban core areas.

In terms of population density, most of America is, more or less, just about empty.





Friday, July 18, 2014

Cost of obesity? $305 billion a year….


America is Fat City.

More than 1 out of 3 adults is obese, and almost 1 out of 5 young people are obese.

More and more Americans are getting fatter every day, and it’s not just their problem.

Researchers at George Washington University estimate that the nation’s cost for obesity—direct medical and non-medical services, lost worker productivity, the impact of disabilities and the social and economic cost of premature deaths—exceeds $305 billion per year.

Why are we still buying and selling sugary drinks and unhealthy snack foods?







Thursday, July 17, 2014

Treasure is cold….


If you’ve never explored a walk in the woods with a small child, read on….

….and be on the lookout for your next chance to dig in the dirt….


“But after three steps into the evergreen shade,
he drops to his knees and begins to furrow.
It’s here, mama, he says. Let’s dig.
I pick up a knobby spruce twig and poke absently at dirt,
 hoping we can start walking again.
 No, mama, like this. With your hands.
I pretend I don’t hear.
He takes my hands in his own, forces them down.
Fine sand runs through my fingers,
old spruce needles swim in it like unstrung commas.
I settle in, sifting and digging up dirt. Making piles.
No mama, deeper than that, he says,
 scratching with his nails into the hardpan.
I dig deeper, past my desire to keep my hands clean.
Past whatever I had set out to do. Treasure is cold
 and filled with crooked things that slip through fingers.”


From "Treasure Hunt in the Woods" by Rosemerry Wahtola Trommer. Published on the poet's blog, November 26, 2007. © Rosemerry Wahtola Trommer.

…and posted July 9, 2014  on the website:   A Year Of Being Here








Wednesday, July 16, 2014

The oldest song in the world


This is unique, and I’m one of the people who takes pains to avoid using the word “unique” whenever it’s not appropriate, which is most of the time….

Here's a link to an audio interpretation of what scholars believe is the oldest song in the world.

OpenCulture.com says it’s a 3,400-year-old Assyrian cult hymn written in the Hurrian language and found on clay tablets discovered in the 1950s in the ancient Syrian city of Ugarit, a port on the eastern end of the Mediterranean Sea.


It’s believed the ancients played this tune on a 9-string lyre.

I don’t think Wynton Marsalis or Beyoncé or anyone else is going to be adding this short piece to a concert repertoire any time soon, but you can give it a try….

You can tap your foot, it’s OK….





Monday, July 14, 2014

BP trashed the Gulf, and still doesn’t want to pay


BP still doesn’t want to pay.

BP is still trying to avoid complying with the court settlement it voluntarily signed, in 2012, to compensate individuals and businesses that suffered losses as a result of the massive 2010 oil spill that contaminated the Gulf of Mexico.

This isn’t a brand-new bombshell—BP has consistently tried to avoid paying claims since its Macondo well exploded and burned in April 2010, killing 11 workers and pouring more than 200 million gallons of oil into the waters of the Gulf. Numerous safety violations caused the spill.

BP argues that some claimants have falsified their losses—doubtless this is true.

But BP has fought the claims administrator at every turn, and has gone back to court numerous times in an effort to avoid paying claims in the way it agreed to pay them in the 2012 court settlement.

Now BP is citing technicalities in asking a federal judge to order many claimants to repay their compensation from BP.

BP's website says: We are helping economic and environmental restoration efforts in the Gulf Coast as part of our ongoing commitment to the region following the Deepwater Horizon accident in 2010.” This is an example of what Winston Churchill liked to call a “terminological inexactitude”….

It wasn’t an “accident,” and from the gitgo BP has dragged its feet in paying for the damages it caused.

Shame on BP.



Sunday, July 13, 2014